Premium Subscriber Insights: SPR Exclusive Insights (Delayed Release)
Date: Tue, Sep 22, 2026 at 5:23 PM
Subject: Pretiming Report Analysis Update | New Price Movement Forecasting Methodology
Dear SPR Premium Subscribers,
We would like to inform you of an important update to the analysis methodology used in the Pretiming Report, which will be applied beginning with the Tuesday, September 22 report.
Update to the Price Movement Analysis
Previously, the Pretiming Report presented market expectations primarily through “Predicted Trend Direction Ratio” and “Trend Strength.”
Beginning with the September 22 report, these indicators will be updated to focus more directly on:
Predicted Price Movement — the anticipated proportion of upward and downward price movements.
Upward/Downward Bias Strength% — the expected strength of the buying or selling pressure when an upward or downward price movement occurs.
This change is intended to make the expected price behavior more intuitive and directly understandable.
Why We Are Making This Change
The previous methodology focused primarily on the direction and strength of the underlying trend. While this approach was useful for identifying the broader trend structure, there were situations where the reported trend direction and strength did not clearly communicate how the stock price itself was expected to move.
For example, a stock could remain in an uptrend while experiencing generally strong upward price movements, but occasional downward movements could still be incorporated into the overall upward trend-strength calculation.
Similarly, a stock could maintain a rebound trend even when the rebound itself was relatively short-lived and the actual price movement was dominated by relatively strong downward fluctuations.
In such cases, the report could indicate an upward or rebound trend while the actual expected price movement was predominantly downward.
As a result, the previous indicators could sometimes make it difficult to intuitively understand the actual direction and magnitude of the expected price movements.
New Price Movement-Based Analysis
To address this limitation, the updated methodology will focus less on the underlying trend classification itself and more directly on the expected number and proportion of upward and downward price movements.
The analysis will be based on the relevant forecast period:
Daily Report: expected number of up/down days
Weekly Report: expected number of up/down weeks
Monthly Report: expected number of up/down months
Based on this distribution, the report will then provide the expected buying or selling strength associated with the actual upward or downward price movements.
This approach is designed to provide a more direct representation of how the stock price is expected to behave during the forecast period, rather than relying primarily on the direction and strength of the broader trend.
New Strength Classification
The updated analysis will also apply a more intuitive threshold to the expected upward and downward movements.
For upward movements, an expected strength of 50% or higher will indicate an expansion of the upward movement driven by relatively strong buying pressure.
For downward movements, an expected strength of -50% or lower — meaning an absolute strength of 50% or greater — will indicate an expansion of the downward movement driven by relatively strong selling pressure.
This distinction allows the report to more clearly separate ordinary price fluctuations from movements accompanied by relatively strong buying or selling pressure.
Effective Date
This updated methodology will be applied beginning with the Tuesday, September 22, 2026 Pretiming Report.
We believe this update will make the report's price-direction and strength indicators more directly connected to the actual price movements investors observe, while providing a clearer understanding of the expected balance between upward and downward movements during each forecast period.
If you have any questions regarding this update or the revised analysis methodology, please feel free to contact us at any time.
Thank you for your continued support of SPR Premium.
SPRㅣ Stock Pretiming Report team.
All forecasts are probabilistic and subject to change as market conditions evolve. Investment decisions remain solely the responsibility of each investor.)
