Subject: Updated Weekly Market Outlook: Scenario Shift Likely
Dear SPR Premium Subscribers,
I hope you are doing well. As we move into the latter half of this important first week of January, I would like to provide a brief update to the weekly outlook scenarios we shared over the weekend.
Based on market action observed so far this week, the probability of Scenario 2 playing out has increased significantly. Daily price movements have remained within the expected range, and the broader trend development heading into next week has largely aligned with our prior outlook. This makes a revision to last week’s forecast for a potential bullish weekly rebound increasingly unlikely.
While one trading day remains in the week and short-term uncertainty always exists, the weight of evidence suggests that the market is transitioning into Scenario 2 as early as the end of this week.
In particular, daily momentum appears poised to re-enter the downtrend from the Bearish Zone, with this shift most likely beginning between Friday and Monday. Under this path, the first half of next week could see a strong downward move, followed by a gradual moderation in selling pressure later in the week. During that period, a rebound trend may emerge, although the strength of the rebound is expected to be limited.
Even after a rebound develops, we expect continued volatility with renewed weakness into late January and early February, consistent with a weekly trend positioned in a correction or broader decline phase.
Once Friday’s market session has concluded, we will provide a confirmed update to the official weekly outlook.
As always, please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or would like additional clarification.
SPRㅣ Stock Pretiming Report team.
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