Weekly Trend Update, Revised March Outlook, and Geopolitical Risk Notice (Active Premium Subscription) Sun, Mar 1, 2026 at 2:56 PM

 

From: [SPR] <pretiming@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, Mar 1, 2026 at 2:56 PM
Subject: Weekly Trend Update, Revised March Outlook, and Geopolitical Risk Notice

Dear SPR Premium Subscribers,

Through early this week, the rebound trend that began last week continued, maintaining an overall upward bias in the market.

As previously communicated, we had consistently projected that Wednesday through Friday would likely serve as a consolidation phase within the ongoing upward move. However, on Wednesday, strong buying pressure emerged, extending the rebound trend and driving the market into the Bullish zone. This confirmed the transition into a short-term daily uptrend.

The strength observed on Wednesday appears to have been supported by favorable economic data, expectations surrounding NVIDIA’s earnings, and Anthropic’s announcement of a Claude update integrating and complementing existing software systems. These developments helped ease concerns about AI-driven disruption in the software sector, contributing to aggressive buying activity.

Nevertheless, our analysis indicated that the upside momentum initiated last week had structural limitations. The move ultimately proved temporary. The market declined on Thursday, and on Friday, a higher-than-expected PPI reading raised concerns that potential rate cuts could be delayed or become less likely. As a result, downside pressure expanded from the opening of the session.

With the corrective pullback unfolding into the latter part of the week, the broader daily and weekly structure remains largely in line with our original framework within a wide trading range.

However, as of Friday’s close, a review of the USMAI weekly trend confirms a weaker-than-previously-expected transition into an uptrend. Instead, the market closed with strengthening corrective characteristics, resulting in a confirmed entry into the Bearish zone on the weekly timeframe. This significantly increases the probability of additional downside movement into the first week of March.

Accordingly, our prior expectation that an uptrend would begin in early March and extend through mid-March has been delayed by approximately two weeks. We are revising our outlook to anticipate a potential favorable weekly window from mid-March through late March. In addition, the projected strength of the move has been adjusted from a sustained uptrend to a rebound-phase transition, reflecting a more moderate upside expectation.

Separately, after Friday’s market close, the United States and Israel initiated military action against Iran, marking the beginning of a new conflict. This introduces substantial exogenous uncertainty into the market. The impact of this geopolitical development is likely to be reflected in early next week’s supply-demand dynamics, and therefore may create variability in both our daily and weekly trend projections.

We will continue to provide timely updates as changes in market structure and capital flows become clearer.

If you have any questions regarding the analysis, please feel free to reach out at any time. We sincerely wish all SPR Premium Subscribers continued success in your investment decisions.

Thank you.

Best regards,
SPRㅣ Stock Pretiming Report team.

www.pretiming.report