Date: Thu, Jul 16, 2026 at 5:43 PM
Subject: Weekly Market Update: Bullish Trend Transition Remains on Track Despite Rising Geopolitical Risks
Dear SPR Premium Subscribers,
The U.S. equity market extended its gains for a second consecutive week, closing with continued positive momentum as the broader weekly trend continues to transition from a corrective phase toward a bullish trend.
In other words, early signals indicating a potential bullish trend transition are becoming increasingly evident. If the current upward momentum continues through this week and into next week, the probability of a confirmed weekly uptrend will increase significantly. Compared with the outlook provided in our previous updates, there have been no material changes to our broader market view.
A key development this week was the release of both the CPI and PPI reports, which came in below market expectations. The softer inflation data eased concerns over persistent price pressures and further reduced expectations for additional interest rate hikes. As a result, one of the primary headwinds facing the equity market has weakened considerably, improving overall investor sentiment and supporting the ongoing transition toward a stronger weekly trend.
At the same time, however, geopolitical risk has once again become an important external factor for the market.
Military tensions between the United States and Iran have escalated following additional U.S. military operations and subsequent Iranian retaliation. Meanwhile, renewed uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has contributed to higher oil prices, introducing another potential source of market volatility. Although the possibility of diplomatic negotiations has not been completely ruled out, the continuation of military tensions increases the likelihood of short-term swings in investor sentiment and buying and selling flows.
Nevertheless, based on current market conditions, these geopolitical developments have not yet altered the broader weekly trend or invalidated our existing market outlook. Accordingly, we are maintaining our previous forecast without change.
Looking ahead, we believe that Thursday and Friday of this week will represent particularly important sessions, as they are likely to provide greater clarity on whether the market can successfully complete its transition into a sustainable weekly bullish trend.
As always, should any significant developments arise that materially affect our outlook, we will provide timely updates.
If you have any questions regarding this analysis, please feel free to contact us at any time.
Thank you.
SPRㅣ Stock Pretiming Report team.
All forecasts are probabilistic and subject to change as market conditions evolve. Investment decisions remain solely the responsibility of each investor.)
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